Laptop penetration in Brazil, rising developer count in China

Interesting email from Paul Kedrosky:

You’ll find this interesting: The only place I have been where I see
as many open laptops in the audience as at O’Reilly conferences is
here in Brazil. Really fascinating.

In a related note, I talked the other day with Stephanie Martin, the head of IBM DeveloperWorks. She noted that the number of Chinese developers active on the site is approaching the number from the US, and that she expects it to pass the US numbers before long. This is as much a reflection of the decline in the developer population in the US as it is the rise of the developer population in China. (More details in this article.)

I wonder, though, how many of the developers in the O’Reilly emerging tech ecosystem are being counted. IBM’s focus on enterprise software development may cause them to miss all the ferment coming from cross-over, self-taught developers who started in some other field (say design, or engineering, or finance) and just had an itch to scratch. I certainly see a lot of vibrancy in the US tech community, and I just don’t buy the doom and gloom that people seem to be spreading about the declining number of CS degrees. Most of the tech entrepreneurs I know didn’t start in CS anyway. They are self-taught.

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  • http://jonvon.net John Vaughan

    Most of the developers I know are ALL crossovers. I came from a brief stint in finance after college and eventually ended up doing Lotus Notes programming. Pretty much all of the developers I know are Lotus Notes guys, and Notes is of course an IBM product! The Lotus division at IBM certainly knows the value of self-taught developers. From where I’m sitting, it’s the majority of their ecosystem.

  • dafek

    Laptops are easier to smuggle. That’s why I have one and most of the developers I know. 60% tax on IT imports……..

    Never met a notes programmer here in Brasil. Maybe because I am under 40.

    All flash php and asp in SP. Lots of python in BH and Brasilia.

    DK

  • http://www.angryafrican.net Angy African

    They have also found some interesing ways to use technology in Africa. Not web 2.0, but interesting none the less. More about how to bring the bottom the pyramid to web 2.0. But don’t worry – Africans will create a new web 2.0 – African style and make the money themselves. Here a few stories how they are doing that. http://angryafrican.net/2008/03/11/web-20-african-style/

    Also did a piece on disconnection in Africa, but more on that later.

    Maybe you can do a piece on Africa at some stage? They also have their own versions of Digg – Muti and Laaikit.

  • http://angryafrican.net Angry African

    technology in Africa. Not web 2.0, but interesting none the less. More about how to bring the bottom the pyramid to web 2.0. But don’t worry – Africans will create a new web 2.0 – African style and make the money themselves. Here a few stories how they are doing that. http://www.angryafrican.net/2008/03/11/web-20-african-style/

    Also did a piece on disconnection in Africa, but more on that later.

    Maybe you can do a piece on Africa at some stage? They also have their own versions of Digg – Muti and Laaikit.