Your Search Activity Predicts Flu Outbreaks

google flu data vs cdc has released Flu Trends, an online reporting tool for flu-related search activity. It’s long been theorized that Google’s search data would be useful to predict epidemics. This is the first time they’ve released a tool like this to the public. As they say on the main page:

We have found a close relationship between how many people search for flu-related topics and how many people actually have flu symptoms. Of course, not every person who searches for “flu” is actually sick, but a pattern emerges when all the flu-related search queries from each state and region are added together. We compared our query counts with data from a surveillance system managed by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and discovered that some search queries tend to be popular exactly when flu season is happening. By counting how often we see these search queries, we can estimate how much flu is circulating in various regions of the United States.

This tool comes to us via’s Predict & Prevent initiative. You can download the data for your own analysis.

If you want to check the status other diseases HealthMap, an online “Global Disease Alert Map”. The automated site uses a variety sources including Google News, traveler reports, and official WHO alerts to track diseases across the world. It is another investment

Tools like Flu Tends will work in areas where people have access to the internet or use Google. Though Google is number one in the US, it doesn’t have top status in all countries and will not necessarily have enough data to make meaningful determinations. If Flu Trends proves valuable enough I wonder if other countries’ CDC-equivalents will pressure their top search engines to develop similar tools.

current flu analysis

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