ENTRIES TAGGED "causation"

The vanishing cost of guessing

As society becomes increasingly data driven, it's critical to remember big data isn't a magical tool for predicting the future.

If you eat ice cream, you’re more likely to drown. That’s not true, of course. It’s just that both ice cream and swimming happen in the summer. The two are correlated — and ice cream consumption is a good predictor of drowning fatalities — but ice cream hardly causes drowning. These kinds of correlations are all around us, and big data…
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Another Serving of Data Skepticism

I was thrilled to receive an invitation to a new meetup: the NYC Data Skeptics Meetup. If you’re in the New York area, and you’re interested in seeing data used honestly, stop by! That announcement pushed me to write another post about data skepticism. The past few days, I’ve seen a resurgence of the slogan that correlation…
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